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Could AI Speculation Trigger a Market Correction?

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Emerge9

By John Abbott, CEO & Founder Emerge9

With over $1 trillion projected to be poured into AI over the coming years, it isn’t whether AI will transform the market but whether a speculative frenzy could destabilize it. As AI fever grips Wall Street, could this be the catalyst for the next major market correction?

A recent report from Goldman Sachs, Gen AI: Too Much Spend, Too Little Benefit, questions whether the expected benefits of AI could justify the massive levels of AI spending expected over the coming years.  Specifically, Goldman’s Jim Covello states, “AI technology is exceptionally expensive, and to justify these costs, the technology must be able to solve complex problems, which it isn’t designed to do.”

However, the most recent earnings reports from the big tech companies suggest we are not in an AI bubble. We are starting to see tangible AI benefits at scale.

Based on its most recent 10Q, the big tech companies—namely Amazon, Meta, Microsoft, and Alphabet—are believed to account for 40% of Nvidia’s revenue. This spending has been incredibly consistent despite headlines that suggest otherwise.

The fundamentals for high ongoing investment in AI are excellent.  During Microsoft’s Q2 2024 earnings call, CEO Satya Nadella stated that “over half of the Fortune 500 use Azure Open AI today.” Nadella also said Azure has over 53,000 Azure AI customers, a 50% increase over the last year. Moreover, Microsoft’s GitHub now has over 77,000 organizations using its Co-Pilot, which is up 180% year over year. 

At the same time, Google is rolling out its Gemini AI tool, which is being integrated into its search engine experience.  Given Google’s dominant 82% market share in search, Gemini can be considered critical to defending this position, particularly considering the threat posed by an AI-enabled Bing.  Since Bing’s integration with Microsoft’s Copilot (Bing Chat), usage has attained new records, surpassing 140MM active users as of March 2024, up from 100MM active users over the prior 12 months.

On August 29th, Meta announced that companies, including Goldman Sachs and AT&T, use its Llama AI models for business functions like customer service, document review, and code generation. To date, 350 million users have downloaded the open-source Llama models, an increase of 50 million since the late July 2024 release of the Llama 3 model. 

This deployment of AI-enabled tools across hundreds of millions of users signals a departure from the crypto/NFT bubble, which failed to produce consumer adoption beyond speculative use cases. However, we will continue to see questions about whether AI-linked productivity gains are commensurate with the massive levels of investment we’re seeing.

According to Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei, the cost of developing large language models (LLMs) is trending toward $10bn. Therefore, we can expect ownership of these models to be restricted to tech companies with market capitalizations in the hundreds of billions (or trillions) of dollars and nation-states. Although the capital-intensive and rapidly depreciating nature of GPU hardware could ultimately result in volatility that we have not previously seen in traditional software businesses, we should consider that the world’s deepest pockets are funding AI investments. 

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MidChains and Standard Chartered establish strategic banking partnership

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MidChains FZE, a digital asset platform licensed by the Virtual Assets Regulatory Authority (VARA) to provide broker-dealer services to retail, institutional and qualified investors, today announced a strategic banking partnership with Standard Chartered. 

Under the partnership, Standard Chartered will support MidChains with a range of banking services, including fiat settlement capabilities, segregated client money accounts, and correspondent banking. These services will power MidChains’ day-to-day operations and enable efficient settlement. 

Rola Abu Manneh

Rola Abu Manneh, Chief Executive Officer, UAE, Middle East and Pakistan, Standard Chartered, said: “The UAE has established itself as one of the world’s leading regulatory environments for digital assets and a global centre for financial activity. That creates a strong setting for regulated digital asset firms and established financial institutions to work together. Our partnership with MidChains puts that opportunity into practice, with Standard Chartered providing the banking services that support its institutional activity, including fiat settlement, segregated client money accounts and correspondent banking.” 

Basil Al Askari, Chief Executive Officer, MidChains, added: “Institutional capital moves continuously between traditional and digital markets, and the infrastructure supporting that activity must keep pace. For institutional investors, digital asset services need to connect with the banking system that supports their wider activity. Our partnership with Standard Chartered brings that connection to MidChains’ institutional services, supporting clients as capital moves between traditional and digital markets.” 

By bringing a VARA-licensed digital asset platform together with an established international bank, the partnership connects institutional digital asset activity with the banking infrastructure behind fiat settlement. It is a practical example of how the UAE’s regulated financial ecosystem can link innovation with established banking capabilities to support international business. 

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Ukrainian Business Council elects new Board to advance Ukraine–UAE trade and investment

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The Ukrainian Business Council in the UAE (UBC) elected a new Board at its General Assembly at Dubai Chamber, where members also approved a 2026–2028 strategy to strengthen trade and investment between the two countries.

Over the next three years, the Council plans to extend its trade delegation programme to new markets, deepen ties with international business councils and launch structured investment dialogues to connect UAE investors with opportunities in Ukraine. The UAE–Ukraine Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (CEPA), Ukraine’s first agreement of its kind with a Gulf state, came into force in July 2026 and removes or reduces customs duties on most goods traded between the two countries.

“Ukrainian companies are achieving real results in the UAE, and we see significant untapped potential for Emirati business and investment in Ukraine. Our role is to build on this momentum: to connect the right partners, support companies at every stage of their growth and help investment flow with confidence in both directions.” commented Olena Shyrokova, President, Ukrainian Business Council in the UAE.

In 2025 and 2026, UBC led business delegations to Vienna, Qatar, Ras Al Khaimah, Fujairah, Oman and the Seychelles. It also ran webinars on UAE market entry for Ukrainian companies and business associations and supported the Ukrainian IT delegation at GITEX. Since its founding in 2016, the Council has established a dialogue with the Federation of UAE Chambers and chambers of commerce across the Emirates.

Under the new strategy, UBC will work with international business councils to give Ukrainian companies access to wider business networks in the Emirates and use the UAE as a base for trade missions to the Gulf, Asia and Africa. The Council will help Ukrainian companies in the UAE with registration, investment and expansion. It also plans to help Ukrainian investors find opportunities in the Emirates, attract Emirati investment to support Ukraine’s recovery and develop arbitration and investor protection mechanisms to build confidence in cross-border agreements.

The Council sees the strongest potential in sectors where Ukrainian strengths meet Emirati priorities: agri-food and food security, IT and digital services, renewable energy, logistics and port infrastructure, and post-war reconstruction. These are also the areas both governments have highlighted for future cooperation.

UBC works closely with the Embassy of Ukraine in the UAE and with H.E. Dr Oleksandr Balanutsa, Ambassador Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary of Ukraine to the UAE. The Council took part in the Cities Unite: Cultural and Business Exchange between the UAE and Ukraine dialogue at Expo City Dubai, initiated by H.E. Reem bint Ebrahim Al Hashimy, UAE Minister of State for International Cooperation, and the Embassy of Ukraine.

The Council will continue to support Ukrainian businesses and the wider community, helping companies expand into the UAE and encouraging UAE investment in Ukraine. Businesses, investors and potential partners interested in working with the Council can get in touch by reaching out to info@ukrainianbc.org.

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UAE primed to convert FDI inflows into economic velocity, says new report

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The UAE has built one of the world’s most successful models for attracting foreign direct investment (FDI) and is now positioned to convert that capital into lasting innovation and skill development, according to a white paper from White Paper Media Consulting (WPM), a UAE-based strategic research house that is shaping business and policy conversations in the region using credible datasets and analytical tools. 

Beyond the Numbers: The Transformative Intangible Impact of FDI argues that the real returns on FDI now lie in the intangible value it embeds within host economies, with the UAE a defining case study. The paper contends that the next phase will go beyond investment volumes, number of projects, and job creation and be measured also in patents generated, skills transferred, data ecosystems built, and clean technologies commercialized, among other things.

Official data shows that the UAE attracted more than $48.3 billion in FDI inflows in 2025, capturing 3.1% of global flows. Greenfield FDI reflected both volume and capital depth, with 1,562 projects announced for a combined $34.1 billion in capex, or 1.8% of the global total.

The country’s ability to attract investment reflects its competitiveness as a hub for operational efficiency, supply chain integration, and regional headquarters functions. The UAE has deliberately repositioned its FDI strategy toward knowledge-intensive and future-oriented sectors, recognizing that long-term competitiveness is increasingly driven by innovation, digital capabilities, and human capital. This approach aligns closely with the OECD FDI Qualities framework, with tangible examples across each dimension: including the innovation and competitiveness, digitalization and technology adoption, sustainability and clean energy investments for climate targets, and human capital and local expertise.

Drawing on the OECD framework and benchmarks from Ireland, Singapore, Israel, Costa Rica, and Malaysia, the report documents how leading economies have shifted focus from the volume of capital they attract to the long-term value it creates. In the context of UAE, this is visible in the shift in the country’s policies across phases that begin with the Foundation Phase from 1985 to 2005 of Market Liberalization and Infrastructure Creation, culminating in the current positioning as Global Capital and Technology Hub.

The shift to value in the UAE has made a huge difference to the job-creation intensity of FDI. Approximately 2,816 jobs were created in the UAE for every billion dollars received in greenfield FDI in the five years from 2019 to 2023, compared to 2,265 in the previous five years. This is higher than the OECD average of 2,318 and 1,880 respectively.

The paper identifies seven ongoing policy shifts that deepen the qualitative impact of FDI in the UAE, including extending spillovers from free zones into the mainland economy, prioritizing R&D-intensive investment, embedding skills transfer requirements in major projects, and positioning the country as a global leader in IP creation and data governance.

Yazad Darasha, co-founder and director, WPM, said: “As trusted partners of public and private sector clients, we have tracked the UAE’s investment story for years, and the pattern is unmistakable. The country has positioned itself at the front of the race for capital. What we set out to map in this paper is the harder, more valuable contest: converting investment into skills, technology, and economic velocity. It reflects what we do at White Paper Media, turning complex evidence into decisions leaders can act on.”

Dr. Joachim Arnold, CEO of OCO Global, which advises governments and businesses on attracting FDI, building competitiveness, and strengthening economic resilience, and contributed to the study, said: “The UAE’s infrastructure, free zones, and business-friendly environment helped attract companies and drive growth. The National Investment Strategy 2031 signals a more deliberate focus on investment that raises productivity and embeds benefits into the wider economy. The question is no longer only how to attract capital, but how investment creates lasting value, strengthens existing companies, and helps domestic businesses upgrade their capabilities.”

The paper highlights live examples of this transition already underway, among them the Space42 and ICEYE joint venture building satellites on UAE soil, Microsoft’s $15.2 billion investment plan with a commitment to skill one million people, and the UAE’s $30 billion pledge to the Alterra climate fund.

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