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Navigating Growth and Liquidity: The Shift to Predictive Credit Intelligence in the GCC

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As GCC businesses expand into new markets and increasingly complex supply chains, traditional credit assessment is giving way to a more predictive approach. In this interview with Mohamad Jomaa, CEO and Country Manager for GCC and Egypt at Coface, we explore how real-time data, AI and early-warning intelligence are helping CFOs anticipate payment risk, protect working capital and make more confident decisions across customers, suppliers and markets.

What is driving the shift from relationship-based credit decisions to predictive credit intelligence among CFOs in the GCC?

Relationships remain fundamental to business in the GCC and will continue to be. What has changed is the speed at which companies are expanding into new sectors, markets, and supply chains. As organizations grow beyond their traditional networks, finance leaders need additional tools to assess customers, suppliers, and partners they may not know well.

Today’s CFOs are increasingly complementing business relationships with data-driven insights. They need greater visibility not only into credit risk, but also into supply chain dependencies, corporate ownership structures, payment behavior, and potential vulnerabilities across their ecosystem.

Predictive intelligence provides that forward-looking perspective. It helps businesses make faster and more informed decisions, strengthen due diligence processes, identify opportunities, and anticipate risks before they impact cash flow, operations, or growth plans.

What trends are you currently seeing in payment delays and corporate defaults across the UAE and Saudi Arabia?

The overall economic outlook in both the UAE and Saudi Arabia remains positive, supported by ambitious investment programs and continued economic diversification. At the same time, businesses continue to face uneven market conditions across sectors.

Drawing on Coface’s unique experience as a global trade credit insurer, we monitor payment behavior, claims activity, and credit events across millions of companies worldwide. What we are seeing today is not necessarily a significant increase in corporate failures, but rather signs of pressure on working capital in specific industries.

Payment delays have become more common in sectors exposed to longer project cycles, margin pressure, or supply chain disruptions. For finance leaders, the challenge is distinguishing between temporary liquidity constraints and deteriorating credit quality. This is where access to real-time payment data and early warning indicators becomes particularly valuable.

How can better credit intelligence improve cash flow, working capital, and overall financial resilience?

Better intelligence enables businesses to make more informed decisions across the entire customer and supplier lifecycle. By combining financial information, payment behavior, sector analysis, ownership data, Country Risk Assessments, Sector Risk Assessments, and ongoing monitoring, organizations gain a much clearer view of both risk and opportunity.

This has a direct impact on cash flow and working capital. Businesses can identify signs of financial stress earlier, reduce exposure to overdue accounts, prioritize collections efforts, and allocate credit more effectively. Access to real-time information and early warning indicators allows companies to act before issues translate into cash flow challenges.

Increasingly, however, financial resilience is not only about customer risk. It is also about understanding vulnerabilities across the supply chain. A disruption involving a key supplier, contractor, or logistics partner can have a significant impact on operations, costs, and liquidity. Better intelligence provides greater visibility into these critical dependencies, helping organizations identify concentration risks, assess the financial health of strategic partners, and strengthen business continuity planning.

As companies expand into new markets and engage with new customers, suppliers, and partners, they need confidence in who they are doing business with. Access to reliable data on ownership structures, financial health, payment behavior, sector outlooks, and country risk helps organizations make better-informed decisions and reduce uncertainty when entering new commercial relationships.

. What warning signs should finance leaders monitor before extending credit to new customers or entering unfamiliar markets?

Financial statements remain important, but they only tell part of the story. Finance leaders should also evaluate payment behavior, ownership structures, management stability, sector outlooks, supplier concentration, and exposure to geopolitical or regulatory risks.

One of the most valuable early warning indicators is a deterioration in payment behavior. In many cases, companies begin showing signs of financial stress long before it becomes visible in published financial statements.

Similarly, supply chain concentration risks should not be overlooked. A business may appear financially sound while remaining highly dependent on a small number of customers, suppliers, or projects. Understanding these dependencies is an increasingly important component of due diligence.

Effective credit decisions require a broader assessment of the business ecosystem rather than focusing solely on traditional financial metrics.

This is why a combination of company information, payment behavior, Country Risk Assessments, Sector Risk Assessments, and supply chain intelligence is increasingly becoming an essential part of the decision-making process.

How are AI and predictive analytics changing the way organizations assess credit risk and make financing decisions?

Financial statements remain important, but they only tell part of the story. Finance leaders should also evaluate payment behavior, ownership structures, management stability, sector outlooks, supplier concentration, and exposure to geopolitical or regulatory risks.

One of the most valuable early warning indicators is a deterioration in payment behavior. In many cases, companies begin showing signs of financial stress long before it becomes visible in published financial statements.

Similarly, supply chain concentration risks should not be overlooked. A business may appear financially sound while remaining highly dependent on a small number of customers, suppliers, or projects. Understanding these dependencies is an increasingly important component of due diligence.

Effective credit decisions require a broader assessment of the business ecosystem rather than focusing solely on traditional financial metrics.

This is why a combination of company information, payment behavior, Country Risk Assessments, Sector Risk Assessments, and supply chain intelligence is increasingly becoming an essential part of the decision-making process.

What sectors in the GCC are showing the strongest opportunities, and where are the highest risks based on your data?

Our outlook combines insights from Coface’s payment experience data, claims observations, Country Risk Assessments and Sector Risk Assessments. Together, these provide a comprehensive view of the opportunities and vulnerabilities shaping the business environment across the GCC.

We continue to see attractive opportunities in sectors supported by economic diversification strategies, digital transformation, infrastructure investment, logistics development and the energy transition. These areas are benefiting from sustained investment, strong policy support and growing regional demand.

At the same time, businesses operating in sectors facing tighter margins, elevated input costs, project execution challenges or longer payment cycles require closer monitoring. What is important to remember is that risk is rarely uniform across an entire sector. Performance can vary significantly from one company to another depending on its financial strength, competitive positioning, customer base and exposure to broader supply chain dynamics.

Looking ahead, how do you see the role of predictive intelligence evolving within corporate finance over the next three to five years?

Over the next three to five years, predictive intelligence will become an integral component of decision-making across finance, procurement, sales, treasury, compliance, and risk management functions.

We expect companies to move beyond using intelligence solely for credit assessments and begin embedding it throughout the business. This includes supplier selection, customer onboarding, supply chain management, compliance checks, investment decisions, and strategic planning.

The organizations that will be most successful are those that can combine technology, data, and human expertise to obtain a holistic understanding of their business ecosystem.

In an increasingly interconnected world, success will depend not only on knowing who you do business with, but also on understanding the risks and opportunities across the entire value chain. Access to reliable, forward-looking intelligence will therefore become a key competitive advantage, helping companies grow confidently while remaining resilient in a rapidly changing environment.

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Financial

PATRIZIA appoints Hassan Awada as Senior Executive Officer to lead and accelerate Middle East expansion

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PATRIZIA, a global investment manager in real assets, has announced the appointment Hassan Awada as Senior Executive Officer (SEO), MENA. Based in ADGM, the international financial centre of the UAE’s capital, Abu Dhabi, Awada will lead the continued growth of PATRIZIA’s business across the MENA region, with a focus on deepening relationships with institutional investors and strategic partners and providing access to PATRIZIA’s international real assets investment platform.

Awada brings over 20 years of experience advising institutional investors across the full investment lifecycle, including origination, structuring, execution and asset management. Prior to joining PATRIZIA, he held senior roles at Kroll, Cornerstone Capital, Gleacher Shacklock, PwC and EY.

Konrad Finkenzeller, Head of Client Division at PATRIZIA, commented: “The Middle East is a key strategic region for PATRIZIA, and we continue to see strong demand from investors for direct exposure to high-quality real estate and infrastructure opportunities globally. Hassan’s appointment strengthens our presence on the ground and enhances our ability to deepen relationships with regional investors and connect them with PATRIZIA’s global investment platform.”

Hassan Awada, SEO MENA at PATRIZIA, added: “Real assets have long underpinned Middle Eastern economies and will continue to play a central role in the region’s growth. Meeting increasingly sophisticated investor needs requires tailored, strategic solutions. With its global platform and 42-year track record, PATRIZIA is well positioned to deliver. Our focus will be on building long-term partnerships with investors across the region and supporting their access to PATRIZIA’s global investment capabilities, aligned with their strategic priorities and long-term objectives.”

Arvind Ramamurthy, Chief Market Development Officer, ADGM, said: “This appointment reflects the firm’s strong growth trajectory in the Middle East and its commitment to expanding from Abu Dhabi. It also underscores ADGM’s role as a leading international financial centre, enabling firms to establish and scale their regional presence from the capital.”

With EUR 17.5 billion in Living assets under management, PATRIZIA is one of Europe’s largest residential investment managers and continues to grow its platform across major urban markets. The firm is currently delivering new housing across a number of European markets, including Germany, UK & Ireland, Spain and Belgium, reflecting the scale of its European platform. Alongside Living, PATRIZIA is expanding its infrastructure platform across energy, digital and smart city assets, supporting the transition to low-carbon and connected economies while delivering long-term, resilient returns for investors.

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Fimple adds five GCC financial institutions in first year, targets doubling regional customer base

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Fimple, an AI-native, API-first, composable financial platform, has signed five financial institutions across the GCC within its first year in the region and plans to double its regional customer base.

Fimple established its Dubai presence in October 2025 and has grown from zero to five GCC customers in 12 months. The region now accounts for close to a fifth of its global customer base of more than 35 financial institutions across 10 countries, making it the company’s fastest-growing region.

The company has also opened an office in Riyadh and plans to expand its customer and delivery presence across the GCC, serving institutions with teams based within the region.

Fimple’s regional growth comes as the UAE continues to advance its ambitions across Islamic finance and financial technology. Under the UAE Strategy for Islamic Finance and Halal Industry, the country aims to increase local Islamic bank assets from AED 986 billion to AED 2.56 trillion by 2031. (Source: UAECabinet.ae)

Dubai is also advancing its ambitions in AI-enabled financial services, with the Dubai International Financial Centre (DIFC) announcing plans in 2026 to become the world’s first AI-native financial centre. (Source: Dubai Media Office/DIFC)

“The UAE is an important market for Fimple because financial institutions here are moving quickly on both Islamic finance and new technology,” said Amr Kandel, GCC Country Manager and Product Director at Fimple. “Banks want to launch products faster, respond to local market needs and modernise without having to change everything at once. The growth we’ve seen in our first year shows there is real appetite for that.”

Islamic finance is a key driver of Fimple’s growth in the GCC. The platform enables financial institutions to run conventional and Islamic finance within the same system, with a range of Sharia-compliant financing and investment structures built into its product engine.

Fimple’s regional customers include Mawarid Finance, a UAE Islamic finance provider that entered into a strategic agreement with Fimple in June 2026.

As banks look to move AI from pilot projects into wider use, Fimple says the underlying core banking infrastructure is becoming increasingly important.

“Banks are already experimenting with AI, but the systems underneath need to be ready for it,” Kandel said. “If the core can’t provide the right data or connect easily with new technology, AI can get stuck at the pilot stage. That’s why the core matters.”

Fimple has built three banking AI agents covering independent audit report processing, customer intelligence from official notices and risk screening across official sources. The agents operate on the Fimple platform with human approval required for each action and full traceability. Further agents are planned as part of the company’s 2026–2027 roadmap.

According to Fimple, it implements a full working core in three to six months on average. Its composable architecture also enables financial institutions to connect selected modules to existing systems rather than replacing their entire core infrastructure at once.

“The GCC has become our fastest-growing region in just one year, and we expect to double our customer base here,” said Mücahit Gündebahar, CEO and Co-founder of Fimple. “We are growing our team and presence in the region so we can support customers locally as we expand across the GCC.”

Fimple will participate as a Gold Sponsor of Seamless Middle East 2026, taking place from Sept. 22–24 at Dubai World Trade Centre. The company will exhibit at stand G64, with Kandel delivering the session “Beyond the AI Hype: Why the Future of Banking Depends on an AI-Ready Core” on Sept. 23 at Stage 1, Fintech Forum.

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Al Masraf and Moody’s Sign Strategic Agreement to Strengthen Risk Intelligence and Credit Capabilities

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Al Masraf has signed a strategic agreement with Moody’s, a global provider of financial intelligence and risk assessment, marking an important step in strengthening the Bank’s risk management and credit capabilities through enhanced data, insights and technology.

The agreement was formalized during a signing ceremony held in Abu Dhabi, bringing together senior leadership from Al Masraf and Moody’s. The collaboration reflects both organizations’ commitment to leveraging advanced intelligence and risk expertise to support informed, data-driven decision-making in an increasingly complex financial environment.

As risks become increasingly interconnected and the financial landscape continues to evolve, access to timely, reliable and actionable intelligence is becoming essential for financial institutions. Through its combination of data, intelligence, risk expertise and technology, Moody’s helps organizations better understand interconnected risks.

The partnership will further support Al Masraf’s continued focus on strengthening its risk management framework, enhancing credit decision-making and building resilient, forward-looking capabilities that support sustainable growth.

Commenting on the occasion, Fuad Mohamed, CEO of Al Masraf, said: “At Al Masraf, we believe that sustainable growth is built on the strength of our ability to understand risk, anticipate change and make informed decisions. Our collaboration with Moody’s represents an important step in advancing our risk and credit capabilities through deeper intelligence, data and technology.”

He continued: “As the financial landscape continues to evolve, partnerships of this nature enable us to strengthen our resilience, enhance decision-making and create greater value for our customers and stakeholders. We look forward to building on this collaboration as we continue to shape a more agile, intelligent and future-ready Al Masraf.”

“We are delighted to partner with Al Masraf on an important step in modernizing its corporate lending operations. By bringing greater automation, efficiency, and insight to the credit journey, Moody’s is helping the bank build a future-ready operating model that enables faster, better-informed lending decisions, strengthens governance, and enhances risk management.” said Wael Jadallah, Managing Director, Head of Asia Pacific and Middle East at Moody’s.

Senior representatives from both organizations attended the signing ceremony.

Representing Al Masraf were Fuad Mohamed, Chief Executive Officer; Moataz Khalil, Chief Wholesale Banking Officer; Safeya Almarzooqi, Chief Credit Officer; Mirel Baila, Acting Chief Operating Officer; Rohit Kumar, Chief Risk Officer; and senior representatives from the Bank’s Wholesale Banking, Credit, Risk, Information Technology, Islamic Banking, Corporate Banking, Project Management and Business Management functions.

Representing Moody’s were Wael Jadallah, Managing Director, Head of Asia Pacific and Middle East; Brendan Gavaghan, Senior Director, Middle East; Raghavendra Katagade, Director, UAE; Blaine Connan, Director, UAE; Ali Abdullah, Director, UAE; and Anand Thirunellai Radhakrishnan, Senior Director, Middle East & Europe.

The agreement underscores Al Masraf’s commitment to continuous innovation and adopting advanced capabilities that strengthen its ability to navigate an evolving risk environment, while supporting the Bank’s broader ambition to deliver sustainable growth and enhanced value to its customers and stakeholders.

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