Financial
UAE Payments Revenue Pool Projected to Reach $27.3 Billion by 2028, Maintaining Strong Growth Trajectory
The UAE’s payments industry is poised to achieve significant growth, with total revenues projected to reach $27.3 billion by 2028, according to the latest Global Payments Report 2024 from Boston Consulting Group (BCG). Despite a global slowdown in growth rates, the UAE continues to lead in the GCC, driven by its rapid digital transformation and strategic investments in the financial sector.
The Global Payments Report 2024 marks BCG’s 22nd annual analysis of the global payments industry, emphasizing the need for decisive action in navigating a rapidly evolving landscape. The report aptly titled Fortune Favors the Bold highlights the importance of adapting to shifting customer expectations, heightened regulatory scrutiny, and technological disruptions. While growth is slowing globally, the UAE remains a bright spot in the region, continuing its high growth and innovation trajectory.
Globally, payments revenue growth is projected to slow significantly, with CAGR halving to 5% through 2028, resulting in a global payments revenue pool of $2.3 trillion. This marks a sharp decline from the 9% CAGR observed over the previous five years, which pushed the global revenue pool to $1.8 trillion in 2023. North America and Europe are expected to experience the most significant slowdowns, with projected annual revenue increases of just 3%. In contrast, regions like the Middle East, Latin America, and Asia-Pacific are forecasted to see higher growth, with the Middle East projected to grow at a 7% CAGR, driven by accelerating digital payments in emerging markets.
UAE Payments Sector Set for Continued Growth
The UAE’s payments sector has seen robust growth in recent years. From 2018 to 2023, the country’s payments revenue grew from $9.8 billion to $18.8 billion, with a CAGR of 13.8%. By 2028, the UAE is projected to reach $27.3 billion in revenues, marking a 45% increase over the next five years.
Transaction volumes in the UAE are also forecast to rise significantly, from 1.7 billion in 2023 to over 3.1 billion by 2028, representing a 78% increase. The shift from cash-based to digital payments, spurred by government initiatives and increased fintech adoption, continues to drive this expansion.
“The UAE’s payments landscape is reaching a critical inflection point,” says Lukasz Rey, Managing Director and Partner and Head of the Middle East Financial Institutions Practice at BCG. “As we move beyond the era of easy growth, the sector must pivot from pure expansion to sustainable profitability. Tech modernization is no longer optional – payment firms must upgrade their legacy systems to modular, scalable, cloud-ready architectures to reduce tech debt, improve unit economics, and adapt efficiently to evolving market demands. Early adopters already leverage generative AI to enhance customer service, strengthen fraud detection, and drive operational efficiency at scale. With intensifying global pressures and regulatory scrutiny, UAE companies that act decisively now – investing in modern tech stacks while strengthening their risk and compliance frameworks – will be best positioned to deliver the seamless experiences customers demand and the sustainable returns investors expect.”
New Strategies Needed as Payments Industry Faces Transformation
The global payments industry is at a turning point, requiring companies to shift from easy growth to bold, strategic approaches, and reporting highlights that digital payments are nearing maturity in critical markets like the U.S. and U.K., with less than 10% of transactions still in cash. Shareholder value creation has evolved, with buybacks and dividends making up over one-third of total returns. Instant payments are now standard in 60+ countries, while central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) are poised to disrupt the landscape. Generative AI is already cutting costs by up to 70% for early adopters, making modernization essential for staying competitive.
Future-Proofing UAE’s Payments Industry for Sustainable Success
As emerging technologies like generative AI, real-time payments, and digital currencies reshape the global payments landscape, the UAE remains well-positioned for long-term success through continued innovation and modernization.

“The growth momentum in the UAE payments sector is clear,” says Mohammad Khan, Managing Director and Partner at BCG. “With UAE transaction volumes expected to increase by 78%, reaching 3.1 billion by 2028, we’re witnessing one of the most dynamic markets globally. This growth brings both opportunities and challenges. While digital payments and emerging technologies like real-time transfers and digital currencies reshape the landscape, success will belong to those who effectively combine innovation with strong execution. Companies that strategically invest in their capabilities today while maintaining operational discipline will be the ones who capture this significant market opportunity.”
Financial
WHY DIGITAL FINANCIAL LITERACY IS THE GROWTH ENGINE MENA’S FINTECHS HAVE BEEN MISSING

By Mayada Baydas, Ph.D., Vice President – Financial Inclusion, botim
For years, the story of fintech in MENA has been told through product launches: faster payments, cheaper remittances, advanced interfaces, enhanced experiences, micro-savings, and instant credit. But the next unlock for the region may not lie in new features or enhancements at all. It lies in something more foundational and far more powerful: Digital financial literacy (DFL).
Today, access is not the challenge. While over 68% of the world population is online, and the number of fintechs globally is rising, 1.3 billion adults remained unbanked globally in 2024. The picture in MENA is no different. The region hosts more than 1000 fintechs, and internet penetration is over 100%, yet 64% of adults remained unbanked in 2024. In other words, the ecosystem is rich with solutions, but the real gap lies in knowledge and ability.
This is where DFL becomes transformative. It equips users with the understanding and confidence to navigate digital financial tools in ways that genuinely serve their needs, whether that’s sending money home, paying bills, setting small budgets, investing, or avoiding scams. And while this capability may seem subtle, its impact is anything but. DFL is quickly becoming the most efficient route to building trust, increasing usage, and driving long-term adoption in a region where smartphone penetration is nearly universal, yet digital confidence remains uneven.
The GCC Leading Financial Inclusion
Let’s zoom into the GCC, the region leading the charge in MENA. It sits at the heart of one of the world’s largest remittance ecosystems. Migrant and low-income workers send millions of dollars home every year. In 2024, remittances to low-and middle-income countries reached $685 billion, surpassing both foreign direct investment and global aid.
Recognizing this strategic position, regulators and fintechs are working together to turn access into meaningful participation. In the UAE, the Central Bank (CBUAE) collaborates closely with fintechs through initiatives such as the FinTech Regulatory Laboratory and the National Financial Literacy Strategy. These frameworks expand access while guiding fintechs to design safe, inclusive, and user-friendly services. In Saudi Arabia, the Financial Sector Development Program (FSDP) and the Saudi Payments ecosystem combine access with behavioral frameworks that foster trust, responsible usage, and long-term adoption.
Regulators set the standards, provide oversight, and create the frameworks for safe and responsible digital finance. Fintechs take these frameworks and translate them into innovative products and services that meet real user needs. Together, they are shaping an environment where financial inclusion is not just a policy goal but a lived reality.
Digital financial literacy is the bridge between infrastructure and participation. Without it, the region risks building highways that millions do not feel safe enough to drive on.
From Access to Ability: What We Learned at botim
When I joined Botim, our hypothesis was simple: If an app can connect people, it can also build their financial capability. A year later, more than 2 million users on Botim are fully KYC-verified, and many are now using our financial features, from remittances to small lines of credit. But their adoption has never been the result of features alone. It has been the result of trust, clarity, and understanding.
Botim is a simple, familiar tool used daily by millions to stay connected. Its reach, especially among communities often overlooked by traditional financial systems, offered a unique opportunity. By unifying remittances, payments, salary tools, credit, savings, and multi-currency accounts under Botim Money, we created a single ecosystem that lets users manage their finances seamlessly within a platform they already trust.
As the platform transformed, one insight became clear: with its communications foundation, Botim is not just a tool for access but a vehicle to educate and empower users. By raising awareness about digital financial services and embedding knowledge and know-how, we enhance our users’ capability to make financial decisions and take actions, thereby increasing their confidence and resilience along their journey towards financial health.
Digital financial literacy is central to our mission. With our scale and reach, we are integrating technology responsibly to deliver a positive impact along the user financial journey.
DFL must be embedded, not added
People do not build financial capability by reading manuals; they learn by doing, seeing results, and repeating them. Behavioral science, from Fogg (2019) to Kolb (1984), shows that meaningful change comes from action, not theory. This is why digital financial literacy cannot sit outside the experience. It needs to be part of the user journey itself. Short, contextual prompts at the right moment can clarify a first remittance, flag a potential scam, explain fees, or help someone set a simple savings goal. GSMA findings show that these in-journey cues improve digital-task completion by 30 to 40 percent compared to passive instruction, proving that micro-moments matter.
Looking ahead, many platforms are extending this approach across core areas such as secure account practices, understanding fees, responsible borrowing, cross-border transfer basics, and fraud or scam awareness. These prompts work because they appear where decisions are made, helping users avoid mistakes, recognize risk, and understand the steps they are taking.
As digital finance continues to grow across the region, strengthening these practical, real-time touchpoints will be essential to making participation safer and more accessible.
Financial
UAE STRENGTHENS FINANCIAL SAFETY NET

At a time when global markets are still navigating uncertainty, the UAE is taking a steady, pre-emptive approach rather than waiting for pressure to build.
At its latest board meeting, chaired by Sheikh Mansour bin Zayed Al Nahyan, the Central Bank of the UAE (CBUAE) made it clear that the country’s financial system remains on solid ground. More importantly, it is choosing to reinforce that position now, while conditions are stable, through a newly approved Financial Institution Resilience Package.
The message is straightforward: the UAE is not reacting to a crisis, it is preparing for one.

A system that’s holding firm
According to the CBUAE, the UAE’s banking sector has so far absorbed global and regional pressures without any meaningful disruption. That’s not entirely surprising given the underlying numbers.
The country’s banking sector stands at Dh5.4 trillion, supported by foreign exchange reserves of over Dh1 trillion. Liquidity levels are equally strong, with around Dh920 billion held at the central bank and more than Dh400 billion in reserve balances.
In simple terms, banks in the UAE are well-capitalised, liquid, and operating from a position of strength.
Why act now?
So why introduce a support package at this stage?
The answer lies in maintaining momentum. Rather than tightening conditions or waiting for external shocks to filter through, the central bank is giving financial institutions more room to operate, ensuring they can continue lending, supporting businesses, and financing growth.
The package itself is built around five key areas. It gives banks greater access to liquidity, eases some funding and capital requirements temporarily, and allows flexibility in how certain loans are classified, particularly for customers affected by current market conditions.
It also enables banks to tap into up to 30% of their reserve requirements and access liquidity in both dirhams and US dollars, which could prove important if global funding conditions tighten.
A confidence signal as much as a policy move
Beyond the mechanics, this is also about signalling.
In uncertain environments, confidence plays a major role in how markets behave. By stepping in early and backing the move with strong reserves, the UAE is reinforcing trust across investors, businesses, and financial institutions.
Armin Moradi, Founder and CEO of Qashio, sees it as a reflection of long-term thinking rather than short-term reaction. He said, “This is a highly commendable initiative by the UAE Central Bank and a clear demonstration of forward-looking economic leadership.
The proactive resilience package reflects a strong level of preparedness and disciplined planning, reinforcing confidence in the UAE’s financial system at a time when global uncertainty remains a key consideration. Backed by substantial reserves, it sends a powerful signal of stability and prudent oversight.
What is particularly notable is the strength of the top-down support—ensuring that financial institutions are not only protected but also empowered to continue supporting businesses and the wider economy. This approach safeguards the momentum of growth while reinforcing trust across investors, partners, and the broader business community.
Ultimately, this initiative further strengthens the UAE’s position as a resilient and highly trusted economic hub, building on an already robust and dynamic business environment that continues to thrive.”
What it means for the real economy
While this is a financial sector move on paper, its impact will be felt more broadly, especially in areas like real estate, where access to credit is critical.
With more flexibility on capital buffers and funding ratios, banks are expected to have greater capacity to lend, particularly in the mortgage space.
Abdulla Lahej, Chairman of Amaal, points to a likely knock-on effect in the property market. He said, “The recent measures by the Central Bank of the UAE signal a clear commitment to sustaining liquidity and credit flow across the economy. With over AED 920 billion in available liquidity and reserves exceeding AED 400 billion, banks are well-positioned to expand mortgage lending. Easing capital buffers and funding ratios will directly support homebuyers through improved loan accessibility and pricing. For the real estate sector, this will translate into stronger mortgage uptake, increased transaction volumes, and renewed investor confidence. Overall, these steps will reinforce market stability while creating favourable conditions for sustained property demand and long-term sector growth.”
Staying ahead, not catching up
What stands out in this move is timing. The UAE isn’t waiting for stress to appear in the system. Instead, it is creating additional buffers while conditions are still favourable. That approach has become a defining feature of its financial strategy, intervening early, but in a measured way.
The central bank has also made it clear that it is ready to introduce further measures if needed, suggesting this is part of a broader, ongoing effort rather than a one-off step. For businesses and investors, that consistency matters. It provides a level of predictability that is often missing in more volatile markets.
In a global environment where many economies are still adjusting to shifting financial conditions, the UAE’s approach is relatively simple: protect stability, keep credit flowing, and avoid disruption before it starts.
Financial
EARLY ELIGIBILITY ASSESSMENT AND PRE-APPROVAL CRITICAL UNDER UAE R&D TAX CREDIT RULES

The UAE Ministry of Finance has issued Ministerial Decision No. 24 of 2026, setting out the detailed implementation rules for the country’s first-ever Research and Development (R&D) Tax Credit regime under the Corporate Tax framework. Effective for Tax Periods commencing on or after 1 January 2026, the decision establishes a progressive, tiered credit structure with rates of 15%, 35% and 50%, linked to both the level of qualifying R&D expenditure and the number of R&D staff employed. The maximum qualifying expenditure is capped at AED 5 million per entity or Tax Group per year.
“The R&D Tax Credit is a landmark development, but it is not a simple year-end adjustment. The dual-threshold design means this is as much a workforce planning exercise as a tax planning one. Businesses need to understand that pre-approval from the Council is mandatory before any credit can be claimed – this is a precondition, not an administrative formality. Companies that begin mapping their R&D activities against the Frascati Manual criteria, quantifying qualifying expenditure and building their documentation framework now will be in the strongest position when it comes time to file,” said Nimish Goel, Leader Middle East, Dhruva, Ryan LLC Affiliate.
The move represents one of the clearest signals yet that the UAE intends its tax framework to actively incentivise innovation, influence capital allocation and support the country’s long-term economic diversification going well beyond revenue collection and international alignment. For businesses operating in manufacturing, technology, engineering, healthcare, food and beverage, agriculture, and other innovation-led sectors, the key consideration is whether internal systems are equipped to capture the benefit.
The credit operates on a dual-threshold basis that is unlike most international R&D incentive regimes. To access each tier, a business must satisfy both a minimum qualifying expenditure level and a minimum average R&D headcount. The first AED 1 million of qualifying spend attracts a 15% credit, requiring at least two R&D staff. The portion between AED 1 to 2 million qualifies at 35%, requiring at least six staff. Spend between AED 2 to 5 million qualifies at 50%, requiring at least fourteen staff. If the headcount threshold is not met, the credit rate drops to the highest tier where both conditions are satisfied, creating material cliff-edge effects that make workforce planning an integral part of tax planning for the first time in the UAE.
Qualifying R&D activities must meet five criteria drawn from the OECD Frascati Manual; they must be novel, creative, uncertain in outcome, systematic, and transferable or reproducible. Activities in social sciences, humanities and the arts are excluded, and only R&D conducted within the UAE qualifies. Qualifying expenditure falls into three categories: staff costs (which receive a 30% overhead uplift), consumable costs, and subcontracting fees paid to UAE-based contractors. Intra-group transactions are consistently excluded from qualifying expenditure, a design choice that will require groups with centralised R&D functions to review their cost allocation and transfer pricing arrangements carefully.
The decision also introduces a mandatory pre-approval process administered by the Council, ongoing compliance reporting obligations, and a seven-year record-keeping requirement for technical documentation covering R&D objectives, methodologies, experiments and findings. These requirements signal that the UAE authorities expect robust, contemporaneous evidence of qualifying activities, not retrospective assembly at the time of filing.
Commenting on the development, Justin Arnesen, Principal, Practice Leader, Europe & Asia Pacific Innovation Funding, Ryan, said, “Ryan’s global experience in R&D tax credits shows that the difference between a policy announcement and a commercial outcome lies in the rigour of eligibility analysis, documentation and claims management. We have helped UK businesses receive over AED 2.5 billion in innovation funding through R&D Tax credits. These outcomes were driven by disciplined processes, not just the existence of a credit. This initiative not only aligns with global best practices but also sends a clear signal to multinational organisations and emerging enterprises that the UAE is serious about fostering a knowledge and innovation-based economy.”
Implications for Multinational Groups under Pillar Two
For multinational groups within the scope of the UAE’s Domestic Minimum Top-up Tax (DMTT), the R&D Tax Credit adds an important layer to Effective Tax Rate (ETR) modelling. Because the credit is non-refundable, it is likely to be treated as a reduction of covered taxes under the Global Anti-Base Erosion (GloBE) rules rather than as a Qualified Refundable Tax Credit, a distinction that can lower the jurisdictional ETR rather than improve it. For groups operating at or near the 15% minimum rate, this means the credit could paradoxically increase Top-up Tax exposure even as it reduces Corporate Tax liability.
However, the decision provides a mechanism for unutilised credits to offset top-up tax directly through the Domestic Group structure, which partially mitigates this effect. Multinationals should model the net impact across both Corporate Tax and top-up tax before claiming, and factor in the five-year claw-back provision that applies if the entity’s status changes – including becoming a qualifying free zone person or redomiciling outside the UAE.
For businesses with cross-border operations, the commercial value of the R&D Tax Credit extends beyond the direct tax saving. The credit’s treatment in the group’s wider international tax profile, including its classification under tax treaties, its interaction with Pillar Two ETR calculations, and its impact on transfer pricing for cost contribution arrangements will require integrated advisory across multiple disciplines. Groups conducting joint R&D through cost contribution arrangements should note that only the arm’s length share of contributions attributable to UAE-based R&D qualifies, adding a transfer pricing dimension to credit planning. The Ministerial Decision applies to Tax Periods and Fiscal Years commencing on or after 1st January 2026.
“The UAE has built a thoughtful, well-structured framework with clear international lineage – the Frascati Manual criteria, the tiered incentive design, the Pillar Two integration. Early investment in activity mapping, expenditure tracking and documentation is likely to determine the extent to which businesses can access and sustain benefits under the regime,” concluded Nimish.
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